A new blood test has been developed by German specialists with 80% accuracy of predicting someone is going to die in the next 10 years. Scientists from the Max Plank Institute for Biology of Ageing have been testing 44,000 people blood samples, analysing 14 factors, such as immunity and glucose control.
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In the study, published in Nature Communications, the researchers, led by Joris Deelen, explained: "We subsequently show that the prediction accuracy of 5- and 10-year mortality based on a model containing the identified biomarkers and sex is better than that of a model containing conventional risk factors for mortality.”
Using the information collected during the trial, they were able to predict - with 83 percent accuracy - whether someone was going to die in the next 2 to 16 years.
The study was first published in the Nature Communications journal were the scientists from the Max Planck Institute for Biology of Ageing analysed thousands of blood of adults, with ages ranging from 18 to 109 years old.
They were first tested on conventional factors of death, such as their BMI, blood pressure, smoking, etc and then academic used the biomarkers from the new blood test.
Participants were given a score ranging from minus two to three - the higher the number, the more likely a person is going to die sooner.
In a follo-up tests over the next 2 to 16 years found that more than 5,512 of the participants had died.
Currently, doctors can predict whether a patient is going to die in the next year, but predicting a patient's risk over the next ten years is much harder to predict.
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